First Belgian Climate Risk Assessment (BCRA)

Mission objectives

Identify and prioritise the most urgent risks for Belgium arising from climate change and ecosystem degradation, following the European EUCRA methodology.

Achievements and impact

• 28 priority risks analysed across 5 systems: ecosystems, food, infrastructure and buildings, health and wellbeing, economy and finance.
• Each risk assessed for severity, level of scientific confidence and policy readiness, under 3 warming levels (+2, +3 and +4 °C).
• Literature review and consultation of over 250 experts through interviews, workshops and a Delphi survey, with a steering committee bringing together the federal and regional levels.
• Priority recommendations, including integrating climate resilience into national security. The assessment directly underpins the development of federal adaptation measures.